Chapter 14, the base case

The test. Withdrawn if the reading shows construction with fewer than three-quarters of its voting rows for rationing, or capability with a verified research milestone.

held Held so far. Construction has all eight of its voting rows for rationing, two of its ten rows abstaining. The research milestone is unverified on any public record, and OpenAI’s claim of 6 September 2026, on preliminary measurements of its own, is one on which the Scorecard’s row 5 still abstains.

From The AI Compute Race. Read the book

Falls due

31 August 2027

Read on

The Scorecard’s frozen definitions, at its reading of 31 August 2027

Chapter

Chapter 14 — The Convergence

One campus, Meta’s Hyperion, run through four possible futures to show how science, power, money and permission meet in the price of an accelerator-hour.

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@misc{dryburgh-chapter-14-the-base-case-2026,
  author = {Dryburgh, Lee S.},
  title = {{Chapter 14, the base case}},
  howpublished = {In \emph{The AI Compute Race}, DRYBURGH},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2027-9},
  note = {Accessed 2026-11-01}
}