Chapter 3, the outer loop, on Anthropic’s date

The test. The twelve months of Tom Brown, Anthropic’s chief compute officer, who said on 2 September 2026 that “a once-in-a-generation scientist for key scientific fields” could come within twelve months. The claim weakens if Anthropic shows on the public record a system choosing its own question and test of success in a scientific field, with the result reproduced by an unaffiliated laboratory. An account by Anthropic, published by that day, of its most capable research system that shows a person still choosing the question or the test of success confirms it.

open Open.

From The AI Compute Race. Read the book

Falls due

2 September 2027

Read on

The public record

Chapter

Chapter 3 — The Missing Researcher

The dated promise of an AI that does its own research, what the laboratories have published, and what the public record can and cannot yet check.

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@misc{dryburgh-chapter-3-the-outer-loop-on-anthropic-s--2026,
  author = {Dryburgh, Lee S.},
  title = {{Chapter 3, the outer loop, on Anthropic's date}},
  howpublished = {In \emph{The AI Compute Race}, DRYBURGH},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2027-10},
  note = {Accessed 2026-11-01}
}