Chapter 12, claim 4, the promises

The test. Falsified if three in four or more of the dated promises that have matured and can be scored by then were kept on their promised phase dates, scored as the slippage matrix scores them, on evidenced load and not the builder’s word.

held Held so far. Of the five dated promises that had matured, one could not be scored; of the four scorable, two were missed outright, one was kept only on the builder’s own account, which the test does not count, and one was missed unless “early 2026” means the first quarter: at most one of four kept, under the three-in-four line.

From The AI Compute Race. Read the book

Falls due

31 December 2027

Read on

The slippage matrix, chapter 12’s second list of forty

Chapter

Chapter 12 — Cross-Examination

The book’s own thesis put on trial: five claims, each scored against the record and given a dated test that could prove it wrong.

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@misc{dryburgh-chapter-12-claim-4-the-promises-2026,
  author = {Dryburgh, Lee S.},
  title = {{Chapter 12, claim 4, the promises}},
  howpublished = {In \emph{The AI Compute Race}, DRYBURGH},
  year = {2026},
  url = {https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2027-25},
  note = {Accessed 2026-11-01}
}