Growth that becomes infinite in a finite time, which would need the generation time to shrink toward zero. Chapter 1 says the wager does not need it, only exclusivity plus a shortening clock. Chapter 1.
From The AI Compute Race. Read the book
Where the book uses it
- Chapter 1 — The Stakes
What the race is for: the belief that a lead in AI can compound into a lasting advantage, how long such leads have actually lasted, and what a trillion dollars a year is being bet against.
Sources that use it
- Elon Musk, two posts on X, 4 January and 21 June 2026 (“2026 is the year of the Singularity,” 4 January 2026, 15:08 UTC, replying to Yuchen Jin; “AI probably exceeds the sum of all human intelligence in 4 or 5 years,” 21 June 2026, 22:55 UTC, replying to Peter Diamandis; neither post defines its term or gives a measure; each held as X’s syndication record and as the status page, 20 October 2026). In the Sources
- Sam Altman, “The Gentle Singularity,” blog, June 2025 (“We are past the event horizon; the takeoff has started”; “As datacenter production gets automated, the cost of intelligence should eventually converge to near the cost of electricity”; and, closing the same essay, “Intelligence too cheap to meter is well within grasp” — forecasts, hedged to “should eventually” and “well within grasp”, and conditioned on an automation of datacenter production the essay does not date; “The economic value creation has started a flywheel of compounding infrastructure buildout to run these increasingly-powerful AI systems. And robots that can build other robots (and in some sense, datacenters that can build other datacenters) aren’t that far off” — a forecast, hedged to “aren’t that far off”; and, on work, “experts will probably still be much better than novices, as long as they embrace the new tools”; on jobs, “There will be very hard parts like whole classes of jobs going away, but on the other hand the world will be getting so much richer so quickly that we’ll be able to seriously entertain new policy ideas we never could before”; “2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out novel insights”). In the Sources
Related terms
From the glossary of The AI Compute Race.
How to cite this page
Dryburgh, Lee S. “Singularity.” In The AI Compute Race. DRYBURGH. https://dryburgh.com/vol1/glossary/singularity (accessed 2026-11-01).
BibTeX
@misc{dryburgh-singularity-2026,
author = {Dryburgh, Lee S.},
title = {{Singularity}},
howpublished = {In \emph{The AI Compute Race}, DRYBURGH},
year = {2026},
url = {https://dryburgh.com/vol1/glossary/singularity},
note = {Accessed 2026-11-01}
}