See clocks of diffusion.
Clocks of diffusion The three rates, measured in chapter 1, at which a frontier lead spreads to rivals. They are frontier turnover from model to model at the American frontier, capability catch-up by open-weight models, and the national frontier lag of China’s frontier behind America’s. Chapter 1.
From The AI Compute Race. Read the book
Also discussed in
- Dated test Chapters 1 and 12, the wager
Related terms
From the glossary of The AI Compute Race.
How to cite this page
Dryburgh, Lee S. “Capability catch-up.” In The AI Compute Race. DRYBURGH. https://dryburgh.com/vol1/glossary/capability-catch-up (accessed 2026-11-01).
BibTeX
@misc{dryburgh-capability-catch-up-2026,
author = {Dryburgh, Lee S.},
title = {{Capability catch-up}},
howpublished = {In \emph{The AI Compute Race}, DRYBURGH},
year = {2026},
url = {https://dryburgh.com/vol1/glossary/capability-catch-up},
note = {Accessed 2026-11-01}
}