---
title: "Chapter 13, orbit is a change of landlord, due 31 December 2030 (limb 1 of 3) · The AI Compute Race · DRYBURGH"
source: https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2030-2
description: "Chapter 13, orbit is a change of landlord: due 31 December 2030."
---

# Chapter 13, orbit is a change of landlord

Due 31 December 2030

**The test.** Half the accelerators, memory and packages in a ten-gigawatt orbital fleet, one year’s deployment at the ramp’s second rung, made outside Taiwan under contracts good for ten gigawatts a year, would weaken the claim.

open Open. Of the three parts, the memory was already made mostly outside Taiwan, since more than four-fifths of high-bandwidth memory was Korean in the second quarter of 2026 on Counterpoint Research’s count.

From *The AI Compute Race*. [Read the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#buy)

**Falls due:** 31 December 2030

**Read on:** SpaceX’s own filings

**Chapter:** [Chapter 13 — A Change of Landlord](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes/chapter-13)The two proposed escapes from the constraints, the Gulf and orbit, and which constraints each actually removes.

## Filings that bear on it

- [SpaceX, Free Writing Prospectus filed pursuant to Rule 433, 8 June 2026](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/filings/spacex-fwp-cfointerview)In an interview SpaceX filed with its offering, finance chief Bret Johnsen puts each orbital gigawatt at about 200 launches and says compute satellites start flying in 2028 “if we stay on target” and meaningful amounts follow in 2029.

[Add this test to your calendar](webcal://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/tests.ics?test=2030-2) · Download this test: [CSV](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2030-2.csv) · [JSON](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2030-2.json)

## Related in the record

- Chapter notes [Chapter 13 — A Change of Landlord](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes/chapter-13)

- [Campuses](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/ledger)
- [Scorecard](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/scorecard)
- [Data](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/releases)
- [Chapter by chapter](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/companion)
- [The record at a glance](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/observatory)
- [The machine](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/machine)
- [One campus, four futures](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/hyperion)
- [Glossary](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/glossary)
- [People](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/people)
- [Sources](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/sources)
- [Notes](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes)
- [Where the book was wrong](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/corrections)
- [Where its sources were wrong](https://dryburgh.com/corrections?book=vol1)
- [The Paper](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/paper)
- [Consent](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/consent)
- [Who builds and pays](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/parties)

*The AI Compute Race: Five Races, One Machine* is a book by Lee S. Dryburgh, the first volume of THE COMPUTE ECONOMY, published by Dryburgh, an imprint of Contestra OÜ, Tallinn, Estonia; its record closes on 8 November 2026.

[About the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1)[Tell me when it is out](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#notify)