---
title: "Chapter 14, the movement sideways, toward commodity, due 31 August 2029 · The AI Compute Race · DRYBURGH"
source: https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2029-10
description: "Chapter 14, the movement sideways, toward commodity: due 31 August 2029."
---

# Chapter 14, the movement sideways, toward commodity

Due 31 August 2029

**The test.** By 31 December 2028, three or more suppliers crossing the capability thresholds while transformer lead times fall below a year and credit spreads converge.

open Open.

From *The AI Compute Race*. [Read the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#buy)

**Falls due:** 31 August 2029

**Read on:** A plurality of the capability clock’s voting rows for commodity infrastructure, whose limbs ask for three or more suppliers. The transformer lead time (row 15) under 52 weeks. Oracle’s credit protection (row 25) under 100 basis points.

**Chapter:** [Chapter 14 — The Convergence](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes/chapter-14)One campus, Meta’s Hyperion, run through four possible futures to show how science, power, money and permission meet in the price of an accelerator-hour.

[Add this test to your calendar](webcal://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/tests.ics?test=2029-10) · Download this test: [CSV](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2029-10.csv) · [JSON](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2029-10.json)

## Related in the record

- Scorecard indicator [Generator step-up transformer lead time](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/scorecard/indicators/generator-step-up-transformer-lead-time)
- Dated test [Chapter 12, claim 2, the relay, due 31 December 2028](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2028-13)

- [Campuses](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/ledger)
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- [The Paper](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/paper)
- [Consent](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/consent)
- [Who builds and pays](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/parties)

*The AI Compute Race: Five Races, One Machine* is a book by Lee S. Dryburgh, the first volume of THE COMPUTE ECONOMY, published by Dryburgh, an imprint of Contestra OÜ, Tallinn, Estonia; its record closes on 8 November 2026.

[About the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1)[Tell me when it is out](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#notify)