---
title: "Chapter 12, beside the five, the coder hypothesis, due 31 December 2028 · The AI Compute Race · DRYBURGH"
source: https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2028-20
description: "Chapter 12, beside the five, the coder hypothesis: due 31 December 2028."
---

# Chapter 12, beside the five, the coder hypothesis

Due 31 December 2028

**The test.** If the coder’s share of tokens falls while the token price falls, the hypothesis is confirmed and the link the chapters draw between tokens sold and revenue earned weakens. The share at the end of 2027 is set against the more than half it reached by the end of 2025, and with no such count published by that day, the test is unscored.

open Open. About 11 percent in May 2025, where the category series chapter 12 reads begins, and more than half by the end of the year.

From *The AI Compute Race*. [Read the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#buy)

**Falls due:** 31 December 2028

**Read on:** OpenRouter’s programming share of token volume

**Chapter:** [Chapter 12 — Cross-Examination](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes/chapter-12)The book’s own thesis put on trial: five claims, each scored against the record and given a dated test that could prove it wrong.

[Add this test to your calendar](webcal://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/tests.ics?test=2028-20) · Download this test: [CSV](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2028-20.csv) · [JSON](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2028-20.json)

## Related in the record

- Chapter notes [Chapter 12 — Cross-Examination](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes/chapter-12)

- [Campuses](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/ledger)
- [Scorecard](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/scorecard)
- [Data](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/releases)
- [Chapter by chapter](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/companion)
- [The record at a glance](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/observatory)
- [The machine](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/machine)
- [One campus, four futures](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/hyperion)
- [Glossary](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/glossary)
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- [Where the book was wrong](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/corrections)
- [Where its sources were wrong](https://dryburgh.com/corrections?book=vol1)
- [The Paper](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/paper)
- [Consent](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/consent)
- [Who builds and pays](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/parties)

*The AI Compute Race: Five Races, One Machine* is a book by Lee S. Dryburgh, the first volume of THE COMPUTE ECONOMY, published by Dryburgh, an imprint of Contestra OÜ, Tallinn, Estonia; its record closes on 8 November 2026.

[About the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1)[Tell me when it is out](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#notify)