---
title: "Chapter 12, beside the five, the price of long money, due 31 December 2028 · The AI Compute Race · DRYBURGH"
source: https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2028-19
description: "Chapter 12, beside the five, the price of long money: due 31 December 2028."
---

# Chapter 12, beside the five, the price of long money

Due 31 December 2028

**The test.** Withdrawn if the ten-year US real rate averages above 5 percent over any twelve consecutive months ending on or before 31 December 2028, the top of the developed-country history the economists Trevor Chow, Basil Halperin and Zachary Mazlish assembled. A rise short of that, however large, leaves it held, and since a real rate moves for reasons other than AI, a crossing would show that the price moved, not why.

held Held: 2.44 percent on 31 August 2026 and 2.83 on 25 September 2026, both far under the 5 percent line.

From *The AI Compute Race*. [Read the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#buy)

**Falls due:** 31 December 2028

**Read on:** The inflation-indexed ten-year Treasury’s yield

**Chapter:** [Chapter 12 — Cross-Examination](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes/chapter-12)The book’s own thesis put on trial: five claims, each scored against the record and given a dated test that could prove it wrong.

[Add this test to your calendar](webcal://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/tests.ics?test=2028-19) · Download this test: [CSV](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2028-19.csv) · [JSON](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2028-19.json)

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- [Who builds and pays](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/parties)

*The AI Compute Race: Five Races, One Machine* is a book by Lee S. Dryburgh, the first volume of THE COMPUTE ECONOMY, published by Dryburgh, an imprint of Contestra OÜ, Tallinn, Estonia; its record closes on 8 November 2026.

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