---
title: "Chapter 12, claim 5, the third fleet reading, resale, due 31 December 2027 · The AI Compute Race · DRYBURGH"
source: https://dryburgh.com/vol1/tests/2027-30
description: "Chapter 12, claim 5, the third fleet reading, resale: due 31 December 2027."
---

# Chapter 12, claim 5, the third fleet reading, resale

Due 31 December 2027

**The test.** A bulk sale of the first H100s, delivered in 2022 and five years old by the end of 2027, clearing at a quarter or more of launch price weakens the claim. A fleet clearing below 15 percent is the named channel opening. With no such sale by 31 December 2027, the reading is set aside as unscored.

unscored Unscored. No fleet has cleared in public. Twelve eBay listings of single H100s sold second-hand in the ninety days to 31 August 2026 at a median of 45 percent of a reconstructed launch price.

From *The AI Compute Race*. [Read the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#buy)

**Falls due:** 31 December 2027

**Read on:** A bulk sale, against the reconstructed launch price

**Chapter:** [Chapter 12 — Cross-Examination](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes/chapter-12)The book’s own thesis put on trial: five claims, each scored against the record and given a dated test that could prove it wrong.

[Add this test to your calendar](webcal://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/tests.ics?test=2027-30) · Download this test: [CSV](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2027-30.csv) · [JSON](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/test-2027-30.json)

- [Campuses](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/ledger)
- [Scorecard](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/scorecard)
- [Data](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/data/releases)
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- [The machine](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/machine)
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- [Notes](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/notes)
- [Where the book was wrong](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/corrections)
- [Where its sources were wrong](https://dryburgh.com/corrections?book=vol1)
- [The Paper](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/paper)
- [Consent](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/consent)
- [Who builds and pays](https://dryburgh.com/vol1/parties)

*The AI Compute Race: Five Races, One Machine* is a book by Lee S. Dryburgh, the first volume of THE COMPUTE ECONOMY, published by Dryburgh, an imprint of Contestra OÜ, Tallinn, Estonia; its record closes on 8 November 2026.

[About the book](https://dryburgh.com/vol1)[Tell me when it is out](https://dryburgh.com/vol1#notify)
